As the first Thanksgiving approaches since vaccine rollouts began in the United States, we were eager to dig into TripIt reservation data to see if we should expect yet another highly traveled holiday. And what we found is thatcooling U.S. concerns around the Delta variantpaired with增加旅行者乐观主义could make for the most highly trafficked holiday since the pandemic began.
Tripit通过我们的旅行用户进行了感恩节旅行的U.Simunated Hodging,租车和航班预订,并将研究结果与2020年和2019年的同等预订期结果进行了比较。
Our data shows Thanksgiving 2021 travel will be nearly triple the volume of last year across most categories, and while still not quite at pre-pandemic levels, flight (52% vs. 2019), lodging (65% vs. 2019), and vacation rental (59% vs. 2019) volumes are at the highest rates we’ve seen for holiday travel this year.
我们还发现美国人开始恢复到更常见的假期目的地,更常见的留守长度。看看我们在下面的分析中发现了什么。
Current Percentage of Flight Reservations Compared to Years Prior
2021 Flights (All) |
2021 Flights (Domestic) |
2021 Flights (int'l.) |
2021 Car Rentals | 2021 Lodging | 2021 Vacation Rentals | |
与2020年相比 | 298% | 299% | 292% | 390% | 258% | 175% |
与2019年相比 | 52% | 54% | 44% | 78.% | 65.% | 59% |
三分之一的旅行者计划在感恩节之前的两天飞行
感恩travelers fall into two groups—those that make a week of it, and those who just dip in for the holiday. And more travelers fall in the latter group, with 33% of flight departures booked for the Tuesday (16%) and Wednesday (17%)—Wednesday being the most popular travel day—before Thanksgiving. Though, only slightly less will leave the Friday (14%) or Saturday (15%) before the holiday week and stick around.
As for the least popular day to travel? No surprise there: It’s Thanksgiving Day itself (just 7% of travelers).
And while all airports can expect to be busy (more on that below), there are some that will be busier than others:旧金山国际机场(SFO)ranks #1, followed by洛杉矶国际机场(LAX)(#2),丹佛国际机场(DEN)(#3),西雅图塔科马国际机场(海)(#4), and芝加哥奥黑尔国际机场(ORD)(#5)。
Flight reservations hovered at around 50% of pre-pandemic levels during the holidays this past year, but for Thanksgiving they are at their highest level—52% when compared to 2019. Same goes when looking at domestic and international flight reservations separately—54% and 44%, respectively. However, when comparing flight volumes to 2020 levels, we see nearly triple the volume. This isn’t entirely surprising to us as 19% of respondents in our recentsurveytold us they were planning to travel for Thanksgiving, and nearly 50% said they were planning to fly.
While the act of traveling might look a bit different than it did pre-pandemic, top Thanksgiving destinations look more like 2019 than 2020. Nearly half of the top 25 destinations moved one spot or less compared to 2019 rankings, while overall rank changes compared to 2020 are more significant. Major metros like New York, San Francisco, Boston, Seattle and others plunged down the list in 2020, but are back at their more usual spots for 2021.
Flight Destination Rankings and Rank Changes Compared to 2021
2021排名 | 市,州 | 2020 Ranking | Rank Change (2020 to 2021) | 2019 Ranking | 排名变更(2019到2021) |
1 | Las Vegas, NV | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
2 | New York, NY | 11 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
3 | Chicago, IL | 9 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
4 | Orlando, FL | 2 | -2 | 8 | 4 |
5 | Los Angeles, CA | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 |
6 | Phoenix, AZ | 3 | -3 | 6 | 0 |
7 | Denver, CO | 1 | -6 | 7 | 0 |
8 | San Francisco, CA | 19 | 11 | 5 | -3 |
9 | Boston, MA | 16 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
10 | 华盛顿州西雅图市 | 12 | 2 | 9 | -1 |
11 | Dallas, TX | 8 | -3 | 12 | 1 |
12 | 坎昆 | 4 | -8 | 20 | 8 |
13 | Miami, FL | 25 | 12 | 19 | 6 |
14 | 劳德代尔堡,佛罗里达州 | 7 | -7 | 14 | 0 |
15 | Newark, NJ | 27 | 12 | 11 | -4 |
16 | San Diego, CA | 13 | -3 | 16 | 0 |
17 | 坦帕,佛罗里达州 | 10 | -7 | 18 | 1 |
18 | Washington, DC | 31 | 13 | 21 | 3 |
19 | Austin, TX | 20 | 1 | 22 | 3 |
20 | Atlanta, GA | 14 | -6 | 13 | -7 |
21 | 檀香山,嗨 | 17 | -4 | 25 | 4 |
22 | Houston, TX | 18 | -4 | 17 | -5 |
23 | Puerto Vallarta | 30 | 7 | 46 | 23 |
24 | Fort Myers, FL | 21 | -3 | 33 | 9 |
25 | London | 47 | 22 | 15 | -10 |
As usual, we see a fairly even mix of warm weather and winter adventure destinations. Over thesummer, California, Florida, and Hawaii captured the majority of bookings. However, perhaps travelers heard the要求彩虹的国家今年夏天计划雅高集团dingly: For Thanksgiving, destinations in California (15%), Florida (14%), and Texas (7%) claim the majority of domestic flights. (Things could look different for Christmas and New Year’s as the governor of Hawaii recently re-extended hiswelcome.)
Rental car bookings continue to cover more ground
Rental car shortages and price hikes were extreme this past summer, but it looks like they could be even more pronounced this Thanksgiving. Rental cars remain the travel mode closest to pre-pandemic levels at 78% of 2019 levels. They’ve even increased nearly 400% compared to last year!
Whileyet again, Florida (15%), California (14%), and Hawaii (10%) claim a large majority of rental car bookings, there are some new entrants to the top 25 list. Nashville, TN (#19), Palm Springs, CA (#22), and San Jose, CA (#25) appear in the top 25 for the first time in the past two years. It does seem that travelers are more likely to rent a car in warm weather destinations, however we also see some winter adventure destinations in the top 25 as well: Denver (#6), Boston (#15), and Salt Lake City (#21).
与2021年相比,汽车租赁目的地排名和排名变化
2021排名 | 市,州 | 2020 Ranking | Rank Change (2020 to 2021) | 2019 Ranking | 排名变更(2019到2021) |
1 | Phoenix, AZ | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
2 | Orlando, FL | 1 | -1 | 1 | -1 |
3 | Kahului, HI | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
4 | Las Vegas, NV | 7 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
5 | 檀香山,嗨 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
6 | Denver, CO | 2 | -4 | 6 | 0 |
7 | Los Angeles, CA | 12 | 5 | 4 | -3 |
8 | 坦帕,佛罗里达州 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 5 |
9 | Chicago, IL | 15 | 6 | 8 | -1 |
10 | San Francisco, CA | 21 | 11 | 7 | -3 |
11 | Lihue, HI | 10 | -1 | 16 | 5 |
12 | 劳德代尔堡,佛罗里达州 | 4 | -8 | 9 | -3 |
13 | Kailua-kona, HI | 14 | 1 | 20 | 7 |
14 | Dallas, TX | 24 | 10 | 25 | 11 |
15 | Boston, MA | 23 | 8 | 12 | -3 |
16 | San Diego, CA | 20 | 4 | 11 | -5 |
17 | Miami, FL | 11 | -6 | 17 | 0 |
18 | Fort Myers, FL | 6 | -12 | 26 | 8 |
19 | Nashville, TN | 26 | 7 | 34 | 15 |
20 | College Park, GA | 16 | -4 | 14 | -6 |
21 | Salt Lake City, UT | 25 | 4 | 27 | 6 |
22 | Palm Springs, CA | 32 | 10 | 45 | 23 |
23 | Houston, TX | 18 | -5 | 15 | -8 |
24 | Austin, TX | 13 | -11 | 22 | -2 |
25 | San Jose, CA | 57. | 32 | 27 | 2 |
感恩节住宿们吃饭和跑步
虽然我们最近调查数据显示,大多数的人是Th的旅行anksgiving are planning to stay with family and friends (*65%), some are planning to stay in a hotel (*31%) or a vacation rental (*15%), contributing to the continued tick back toward pre-pandemic booking levels for lodgings (*note: respondents could choose multiple accommodation types.)
And for those who’ve booked their own place to stay, most plan to (turkey) trot in and out.
Throughout this summer we saw as much as a10x increasein the number of reservations for 8+ day trips. We also saw that for Thanksgiving 2020, there was a big shift toward longer stays as well, with 40% staying 5-7 days and 2.4% staying 8+ days. But is the ‘从度假屋工作’ trend over? For Thanksgiving 2021, we are seeing the shift back toward shorter stays with the majority (64%) staying 3-4 days, 21% staying 5-7 days, and only .6% staying 8+ days.
Percentage of Lodging Reservations by Length of Stay
1-2 Days | 3-4天 | 5-7 Days | 8+ Days | |
2021 | 14% | 64% | 21% | .6% |
2020 | 13% | 45% | 40% | 2% |
2019 | 13% | 72% | 15% | .5% |
Even vacation rentals (a subset of lodging), where we have seen even stronger trends toward longer stays over the past year, have started to shift back toward shorter lengths. In fact, there is a lower percentage of people staying 8+ days this year than in 2019—5% vs. 8%. However, the majority are staying in vacation rentals longer than when compared to lodging trends overall; the majority (56%) will stay for 5-7 days in a vacation rental.
Percentage of Vacation Rentals by Length of Stay
1-2 Days | 3-4天 | 5-7 Days | 8-13 Days | |
2021 | 7% | 32% | 56.% | 5% |
2020 | 8% | 36% | 46% | 11% |
2019 | 7% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
整体住宿保留持续到正常(65%,与2019年65%),作为假期租赁(59%),以及去年近年的良好超越2020级。
Lodging Destination Ranking and Rank Changes Compared to 2021
2021排名 | 市,州 | 2020 Ranking | Rank Change (2020 to 2021) | 2019 Ranking | 排名变更(2019到2021) |
1 | Las Vegas, NV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
2 | New York, NY | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
3 | Orlando, FL | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0 |
4 | Chicago, IL | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
5 | 檀香山,嗨 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
6 | San Diego, CA | 9 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
7 | Los Angeles, CA | 15 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
8 | San Francisco, CA | 12 | 4 | 5 | -3 |
9 | Miami, FL | 23 | 14 | 13 | 4 |
10 | New Orleans, LA | 19 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
11 | Boston, MA | 44 | 33 | 15 | 4 |
12 | Washington, DC | 22 | 10 | 10 | -2 |
13 | Austin, TX | 28 | 15 | 17 | 4 |
14 | Nashville, TN | 11 | -3 | 24 | 10 |
15 | Anaheim, CA | 21 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
16 | 斯科茨代尔,AZ. | 5 | -11 | 20 | 4 |
17 | 劳德代尔堡,佛罗里达州 | 14 | -3 | 16 | -1 |
18 | Miami Beach, FL | 24 | 6 | 25 | 7 |
19 | Lahaina, HI | 4 | -15 | 12 | -7 |
20 | Philadelphia, PA | 38 | 18 | 14 | -6 |
21 | Houston, TX | 78. | 57. | 22 | 1 |
22 | Dallas, TX | 55 | 33 | 30 | 8 |
23 | 坦帕,佛罗里达州 | 45 | 22 | 29 | 6 |
24 | Denver, CO | 13 | -11 | 23 | -1 |
25 | 华盛顿州西雅图市 | 54 | 29 | 11 | -14 |
However, while the top lodging destinations (Las Vegas, New York, Orlando, and Chicago, respectively) match those of Thanksgiving 2019, the top vacation rental destinations are still a bit in flux. Indeed, the top 25 list for vacation rentals shows significant rank shifts from both 2019 and 2020.
Vacation Rental Destination Rankings and Rank Changes Compared to 2021
2021排名 | 市,州 | 2020 Ranking | Rank Change (2020 to 2021) | 2019 Ranking | 排名变更(2019到2021) |
1 | San Diego, CA | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
2 | 波特兰,或者 | 67. | 65. | 15 | 13 |
3 | Chicago, IL | 138 | 135 | 16 | 13 |
4 | Palm Springs, CA | 1 | -3 | 19 | 15 |
5 | New Orleans, LA | 46 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
6 | Los Angeles, CA | 21 | 15 | 1 | -5 |
7 | 华盛顿州西雅图市 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
8 | 基西米,佛罗里达州 | 4 | -4 | 14 | 6 |
9 | Nashville, TN | 5 | -4 | 13 | 4 |
10 | Sedona, AZ | 2 | -8 | 17 | 7 |
11 | Joshua Tree, CA | 22 | 11 | 23 | 12 |
12 | Kihei, HI | 31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
13 | Washington, DC | 43 | 30 | 18 | 5 |
14 | Houston, TX | 389 | 375 | 33 | 19 |
15 | Austin, TX | 11 | -4 | 5 | -10 |
16 | San Francisco, CA | 102 | 86. | 22 | 6 |
17 | Kailua-kona, HI | 96. | 79. | 114 | 97. |
18 | 普林斯维尔,嗨 | 95. | 77. | 45 | 27 |
19 | 檀香山,嗨 | 68. | 49 | 11 | -8 |
20 | 图森,AZ. | 29 | 9 | 33 | 13 |
21 | Brooklyn, NY | 184. | 163. | 6 | -15 |
22 | 斯科茨代尔,AZ. | 7 | -15 | 10 | -12 |
23 | Philadelphia, PA | 79. | 56. | 7 | -16 |
24 | Charleston, SC | 77. | 53 | 44 | 20 |
25 | New York, NY | 44 | 19 | 3 | -22 |
We hope that you and yours enjoy a safe and healthy Thanksgiving—whether you gather virtually or around the same table. TripIt is here to help you stay safe as you venture back out for holiday travel. Make sure to add your travel plans to your TripIt itinerary so that you can seeCOVID-19 travel guidanceby destination and airline, find medical facilities (should you need them) inNearby Places, and locate local health and medical scores withNeighborhood Safety Scores.
Methodology: TripIt looked at U.S. origin round-trip flight, lodging, and rental car reservations made between October 18, 2020, and October 18, 2021, for travel during the Thanksgiving holiday (Friday, November 19 – Sunday, November 28, 2021) with a U.S. origin, and equivalent booking periods in 2020 and 2019. Reservation data in TripIt is provided by users and is booking provider agnostic.